Forecasts for items without history and seasons that move
New products have no sales history, and seasons do not fall on the same week every year. Veritico STOCK forecasts new items from their predecessors, handles moving holidays and separates real seasonality from one‑off peaks.
Why new items and seasons break forecasts
New items launched blind
Without history, the first orders are a guess, and the guess is often wrong in both directions.
Easter is not a date
Moving holidays shift demand between weeks, and simple models copy last year’s week.
False seasons
One‑off peaks get repeated as if they were seasonal.
How it works
How Veritico STOCK handles it
01
Predecessor and successor
A new item takes over a set percentage of its predecessor’s history.
02
Middle‑out forecasting
For new and strongly seasonal items the forecast is built on a level between the item and the category.
03
Seasonality
Seasonality includes moving holidays, extreme seasons are identified and false seasons suppressed.
04
Clean history
Before calculation, history is cleaned of extremes, stockouts and promotion effects.
What you set in Veritico STOCK
Predecessor links
Link a new item to its predecessor and set the share of history it takes over.
Discontinued items
Items that leave the range are sold out in a controlled way.
Forecast control
Planners can adjust, confirm and freeze the forecast.
Veritico STOCK in practice
AI‑based inventory optimization for a network of 490 pharmacies
Logio deployed Veritico STOCK in a network of 490 pharmacies to automate ordering and optimize delivery schedules. The project increased revenue and product availability while reducing logistics costs and saving 2 hours of manual work per pharmacy per day.
+5% revenue
+4% product availability
2 hours saved per pharmacy every day on ordering
Automated stock and promotion planning for Jednota Mikulov
Jednota Mikulov replaced manual order management with Veritico STOCK and Veritico PRICE, raising product availability from 96% to 98% and cutting order creation time by 90%. Customers experience fuller shelves and better planned promotions while store staff spend far less time on administration.
Product availability improved from 96% to 98%
Inventory turnover time decreased by 8%
Time needed to create orders shortened by 90%
Related solutions
Forecasts per item, store and day.
Promotion forecasts per store and day.
The Veritico STOCK module: forecasting, stock targets and automated orders.
Questions about new products and seasons
From a predecessor item, with a set percentage of its history, or at a higher level with middle‑out forecasting.
Yes, seasonality includes moving holidays such as Easter.
Book a Veritico STOCK demo
Tell us how you order today, how many items and locations you manage and which KPI matters most. We’ll show you Veritico STOCK on a similar setup.